Chiefs, where are the indians?
They finally did it. Another milestone here at Jimmy D’s Air Traffic Work Farm. We officially reached a 3:1 controller to supervisor ratio. When I got to work this Sunday morning, one of the busiest days of the week, we had nine controllers and three supervisors. I’m not including the two developmentals (trainees) because they aren’t even certified on one sector and cannot do anything by themselves. Three controllers have a supervisor all to themselves to watch them work. Super! There are a few things to keep in mind to put this happy occasion in perspective.
For one, a couple of years ago they wouldn’t even have considered staffing my area with less than 13 people, and that would have been considered short-handed. We are the busiest area in the building by far, over 30% more traffic then the next closest. We have eight sectors, and when things get really hectic, most of those sectors require two controllers and some even three. You can do the math. Not to mention you can’t have everyone “plugged in” all day without a break, so you need extra people to rotate others out for a rest. The maximum recommended time on position is two hours, but working heavy, complex traffic with weather impacting the operation, sometimes even one hour is exhausting. Tired controllers make mistakes, and the effect is cumulative over time as well. It’s called burn out.
Another is that today just happens to be a beautiful clear VFR day, so they figure they can safely handle it with nine people and they’re not even considering calling in overtime, if they could even get anyone to answer their phone. The problem is, in our world things happen suddenly and without warning. I can recall two important days here, both beautiful sunny days, when things just suddenly went to s***. One of those days was September 11, 2001. Do I really need to elaborate on that? Another was February 1, 2003. I doubt anyone reading this would know that date off the top of their head, but that was the day the space shuttle Columbia disintegrated over and into the airspace I was working at the time. The impact of that was that for rest of that day it was chaos as military and civilian planes converged on our area for search and rescue, salvage, news coverage, etc. and we dealt with rapidly changing Temporary Flight Restrictions and shifting identification requirements to enter those areas. Luckily, on both those days we had plenty of people on hand to handle the sudden workload safely.
Now, keep in mind not every day is clear and sunny down here on the Gulf Coast. In fact, we have more thunderstorm days a year than anywhere. Period. Thunderstorms and airplanes do not mix, and so they either have to stay on the ground, or fly around them. The airlines have schedules to keep and customers that get very cranky when they are delayed, so of course the preference is to get off the ground and find a way around or through a storm system. We have Traffic Management personnel who’s job it is to try and make everything go as smoothly as possible, routing aircraft around weather in advance, and trying not to overload any particular facility or sector with more aircraft than they can safely handle. Note I used the verb “try”. They’re not always successful. Sometimes with all the new routes and confusion and developing weather, many aircraft get squeezed into a small area that gets over-saturated. When that happens, sectors, areas or entire facilities go “down the tubes” where it’s a mad scramble for the people working just to keep airplanes from hitting. That takes lots of people, like I said earlier sometimes 3 per sector. Remember also I said we had eight sectors? And nine people this morning? The most we can optimistically hope for this summer (peak thunderstorm season here) with overtime called in or scheduled is maybe 12 people. Now that will be interesting.
Also disturbing is the fact this short staffing situation is going to get worse before it ever gets better. There are several of my co-workers that are eligible now to retire, and in a year there will be many more, most of whom will walk out the door and never look back. We are replacing those leaving with about an average of one certified controller a year. That’s right. The FAA says they are hiring thousands of controllers. No, they’re not! They’re hiring developmentals, many of whom are terminated, resign, or fail training. Those that are successful take anywhere from two to four years to certify. So out of all the developmentals we’ve hired for my area specifically in the last three years, and I can’t give an accurate number but it’s in the neighborhood of at least 20, only nine of those even progressed far enough to start on-the-job training (OJT). Of those, three more have failed out, and two have fully certified, with one more close to finishing his training. The jury is out on several of the few that remain in OJT. Compound that with a new training program that allows a developmental to be working the only sector he’s certified on, probably only a year and a half since he was hired off the street with no prior experience, at one of the busier air traffic control facilities in the world! That gives me lots of warm fuzzies. How about you?
The FAA admits they have staffing problems at a few facilities, but they would never allow that to jeopardize air safety. Uh huh. These people have lost all credibility with me, so I really don’t give a rat’s behind what they say, but let’s assume for the sake of argument that is true. Well, the staffing problem is going to be very real at most facilities around the nation, especially the busier ones. If it’s true that they won’t allow that to jeopardize safety, then the only option is going to be delays. Big delays. Major delays. Delays like we haven’t seen since the strike of 1981. I fly too, and will be this summer. I’ve already been the victim of delayed and canceled flights. I know how much it sucks and I’m sympathetic, however, you can’t fit 25 pounds of sand in a 10 pound bag, so if you’re heading to the airport pack a lunch and bring lots to read.
Finally, the FAA cannot solve this issue until they quit ignoring the elephant in the room. Controllers do not have a contract, and until the agency negotiates a fair collective bargaining agreement with us that we ratify, experience will continue to retire in droves and new hires will continue to refuse job offers and resign because of the pathetic working conditions and drastically lower salaries. The arrogance of this agency’s management is astounding because they know this is the case, but refuse to admit it and publicly say “Problem? What problem?” Folks, there’s a bustle in the hedgerow, and it’s not the May Queen, it’s the chickens coming home to roost. Everybody will know soon enough that these idiots systematically dismantled the safest and most efficient air traffic system in the world both to feather their own nests and to cling to pig-headed political ideology. So when you’re sitting on the ramp in a packed, hot airplane for hours without food and water and the toilets are overflowing, or your flight is canceled and you miss your daughter’s wedding, pen a nice thank-you card to the architect of this mess, the ex-Administrator, Marion Blakey. I doubt she’ll read it. She’s busy as the half-million-dollar-a-year CEO of the Aerospace Industries Association. Oh, and I doubt she flies commercial.